Let’s talk Iraq




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Let us do some fact checking,  Iraq has a population of almost 32,000,000 of which are 67 % Shia Muslims and that translates into the number of over 21,000,000 and of the 32, 000,000 we have 18% Kurdish (non-Arab, racially and culturally more Iranian) population which translates into over 5.5,000,000 and that leaves us with about 5.5,000,000 Arab Sunni Muslims.  Of this mentioned number of 5.5 Mil. Sunni-Arab Iraqis, more than 40% (over 2.2 Mil.) are dispersed around the region and/or inside Iraq, and they have demonstrably nothing to do with the extremism claimed and magnified by the western press. That leaves us 3.3 Mil. Arab Sunni Iraqis of who over 50% are politically passive due to reasons of tribal and regional considerations (anyone who knows of the ABC of that region knows what is meant) that leaves just over 1.5 million “eventually” disgruntled Iraqis that need special attention. (Important note here, do NOT mistake in your calculations and include the non-Arab Kurds into the Sunni equilibrium, since it was the “Arab Sunni” that gassed and suppressed them constantly for decades, and that means they can and shall never be allies, even pro-forma to please the US).

1.5 Million is not really such a big deal, and depending on the Qatari/Saudi military and material support not to mention them sending their women for Sexual Jihad to these mostly Jihadists , it would be a solvable problem. But the facts are that these new terror units are being trained by the US and Turkish Special Forces in Jordan and their agenda is to create the new ME by creating facts.

Needless to say, these moves are once again done without any long term considerations and the results shall be frustrations beyond control when the hit and run wars and the Tiki-Taka politics result in a boomerang that bites the hands that have been feeding them, like every single time one of those silly privileged theoreticians wrote a thesis for his or her Bachelor in some over expensive University while high on cannabis about the ME, this time it won’t be different.

The mentioned 1.5 Million Iraqi Sunni Arabs with half of them being women and more than 70% of the left over men over  50 years of age, means just over 220,000 men under 50 live in that region. Come on, I did the Math’s now you take a step back and make your own judgments.

The Iranians seem to have seen through and have offered help but won’t want to get involved knowing it will become a new Syria… Once again, we can do nothing but wait and see how it unfolds. At the end like Lebanon and Syria there shall be groups around, some inevitably stronger than certain regional armies, and that could also have been the final agenda….like, blackmailing states into political orbits, should they not abide? Then unleashing these units and calling them insurgents… you never know.

Comments

Anonymous said…
What happens in Iraq today is what happened in Lebanon in 1975.

Iraq is on its way to become a new Lebanon. With 3 separate spheres of power one stronger than the other but never strong enough to challenge anyone outside of the region.

Azari by fortune and Iranian by the grace of God
Dariush London

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