The day after.....
The election in Iran is now over, but the fever is still sporadically present.The results are now known all over the world, the persistent western coverage of the Mussavi corner, apparently had risen the expectations in the west of a different outcome. That is one reason the west keeps miscalculating the Iranian political arena, next to the western reliance of intelligence and expertise about Iran on the disgruntled Iranian ex patriots, of whom some have left Iran decades ago.
For those, familiar with all sides of this "Pyramid" called Iran, and not only the middle class districts of Tehran, this election result comes as no surprise, points of concerns to the majority (not interviewed by the western media) were for instance, Corruption.... every Iranian is aware of the corruption that established itself in the 90's and every Iranian knows the names affiliated with it, Iranians haven't forgotten. The other factor that the west keeps underestimating, was the so called pragmatic Khatami era, whose one sided concessions towards the west regarding the nuclear issue and other offers which were arrogantly rejected, is considered an unforgivable weakness, that would have eventually compromised Iranian independence. As a matter of fact, Khatami was such a sissy, that once his own interior minister was impeached at the Parliament for unimportant matters, Khatami did not even defend him.(despite western recognitions, Khatami has issues amongst Iranians)
There is no doubt that Ahmadinejad is a populist, he has his base in the rural area and not amongst the middle class of Tehran, whose main objectives are more personal freedoms which is more than legitimate, but not of immediate concern in the eyes of the conservatives, they (conservatives) see a country surrounded by wars and terrorism. Fact is, issues like womens rights, which I personally hope to be addressed sooner than later could be solved with a "fatwa" in the Shia faith. Many other issues of the middle class concern, can and should be solved immediately, but the gray eminences in Iran keep preventing these small gestures to be made, so as not to allow the executive to become too popular. This time, Ahmadinejad has declared war on one of the pillars of the old guard, who ironically is the staunchest supporter of Mussavi (and the source of corruption mentioned above). Nevertheless I expect the middle class to get their freedoms this time, by whoever gets the final vote.
Incidentally that was a wise move by the west to keep away from the Iranian Presidential campaign, and now they should not bet too much on the skirmishes taking place in Tehran, hoping for any regime change, they are not against the regime, but they are reformists who wish to better their governments.
What the vote rigging accusations is concerned,the Iranians inside the country know how to deal with it, should there have been any cheating, then it should be annulled and repeated, but western interference will be counterproductive as it was during the last reformist movement. Somehow the persistence of some western governments to have a say and support one side, looks wantonly because it always backfires (which is known in the west) and that, makes the impression that the west really wants an Ahmadinejad to deal with, because Ahmadinejed is an easier target and Iranians easier to demonize, all to the benefit of Israel.
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